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By Alicia Campi |
The Jamestown Foundation |
China Brief, Volume 5 Issue
10 |
May 5, 2005 |
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China
has traditionally viewed its relations with the Mongols to its
north with much seriousness. Chinese policymakers in the 21st
century are fully aware of the historical record of
devastating invasions of the Chinese heartland from the
Mongolian plateau, and such memories are still significant
when developing policy. Both Chinas—People's Republic of China
and the Republic of China (ROC) on Taiwan—now to some extent
"recognize" the independent state of Mongolia, but there are
caveats. The PRC has often published official maps which
include the territory of Mongolia within its borders, and it
is very nervous about how democratic politics in independent
Mongolia may influence its restive Inner (or Southern)
Mongolian minority of 6 million.
On Taiwan, the Mongolian and Tibetan Affairs Commission, which
is directly descended from the Manchu Li Fan Yuan (Office of
Barbarians) still functions, although formally goes out of
existence in 2006. [1] Since 2002 Taiwan has permitted Mongols
to use their own passports to come to the island, but until
the ROC Constitution, which claims Mongolia as a sovereign
part of China, is amended, no completely normal relationship
is possible. All Chinese realize that Mongolia recognizes one
China, the PRC, and does not officially support any
Pan-Mongolian or Southern Mongolian independence movement
(although doubts about the real attitudes of Mongols still
remain).
PRC foreign policy analysts and policymakers always have
believed that China rightly should be the preeminent Asian
regional power, viewing its weaker neighbors with
condescension. Tensions with neighbors traditionally were a
threat to China's national security. With the opening of China
in the 1980s and the end of the Cold War, China developed a
"good-neighborly" integrated regional policy (mulin zhengce).
[2] According to Liu Huaqiu, Director of the Foreign Affairs
Office of the State Council, the objectives of this policy
were to develop friendly relations with neighbors, preserve
regional peace and stability, and promote regional economic
cooperation. For China, achieving economic growth and becoming
an economic power are both a means and an end of its foreign
policy. Therefore it was necessary to settle remaining border
disputes peacefully and prevent alliances of neighbors with
hostile foreign powers, including Russia, Japan and the U.S.
"In other words, establishing good relationships with
neighbors is aimed at providing China with a more secure
environment in its periphery as a leverage to increase its
influence in world affairs." [3]
A major influence on Chinese thinking about Mongolian
relations was the souring of economic relations with western
countries after the 1989 Tiananmen incident. Because of
sanctions, China was forced to turn its attention to
developing political and economic relations with its border
neighbors, who were very concerned about a potential breakdown
of the Chinese state leading to their own economic misery.
China saw three trends which favored it developing a
"comprehensive periphery policy": (1) the 21st Century would
be the Pacific Century of fast economic growth; (2) the rise
of "new Asianism," or the Asian model of economic development
with Asian values; and (3) the development of regional blocs
after the collapse of the bipolar superpower world. [4]
Furthermore, the periphery policy, including policy toward
Mongolia, was strongly influenced by Sino-U.S. and
Sino-Japanese relations.
Chinese security expert Yan Xuetong asserts that China has
found more common security interests with peripheral countries
since adopting the good neighboring policy (e.g. preventing a
world war and a new cold war, and avoiding regional military
conflict). Chinese agree that this policy has been successful
and has resulted in a more stable, peaceful environment,
mutual trust, and enhanced national security. [5] Dating from
the 1980s, Chinese reformers understood that their own
economic opening was predicated on abandoning ideology to
develop friendly relations and stop defining China's relations
with its neighbors in terms of Chinese relations with the
Soviet Union or the U.S.
China marked the importance of the Mongolian relationship,
even when Mongolia still was perceived as a Soviet satellite,
when it signed a border agreement resolving outstanding
disputes in November 1988. Within a month of the collapse of
the Soviet Union, top PRC leaders went to the Mongolian
capital of Ulaanbaatar. The cornerstone of the new bilateral
relationship was the 1994 Treaty of Friendship and
Cooperation, calling for mutual respect for independence and
territorial integrity. This agreement both codified China's
century-long goal of removing the threat of Russia via
Mongolia, and also was a concrete indication that China was
concerned about the growing dominance of western, especially
American and Japanese, interest in Mongolian domestic
political and economic affairs. Growing U.S. ties with
Mongolia, especially in the military and political fields,
have only reinforced the Chinese perception that correctly
managing the U.S. relationship is crucial for China in order
to establish a positive security environment on its periphery.
The fact that the PRC originally saw Mongolia as distinct from
Central Asia was exemplified by the establishment of the SCO
and Jiang Zemin's April 1996 "Treaty of Enhancing Military
Mutual Trust in the Border Areas"--both without Mongolian
inclusion. However, the expansion of the nature of
trans-border threats to China to include political and
military cooperation against terrorist and Muslim extremist
movements, as well as to maintain regional security from
separatism and to keep out the U.S. and Russia, has led China
to see the utility of including Mongolia in the SCO as an
observer. This may indicate that China as well as Mongolia is
in the process of redefining the geographic concept of
"Central Asia."
Newly inaugurated Chinese President Hu Jintao illustrated the
importance of stable Sino-Mongolian relations by choosing to
stop in Mongolia during his first trip abroad in June 2003.
There he stated that a stronger China was not a threat to its
neighbors and proposed closer economic ties, which
subsequently resulted in much larger Chinese investment in
Mongolian mining and infrastructure. China achieved another
major goal in its Mongolian policy with the agreement of
Mongolia not to participate in any military alliance against
China.
Although Chinese leaders do know of their neighbor's
suspicions that China is trying to politically re-establish
the old tributary system and take over the Mongolian economy,
they have been slow to fully understand the perception gap and
to respond to such concerns. [6] Sensitive issues such as
visits by the Dalai Lama, Chinese minority policy toward
Mongol groups within the PRC, and the flight of Inner Mongols
to Mongolia claiming political asylum are irritants to the
overall relationship. The Chinese military is apprehensive,
although apparently resigned, to the deepening U.S.-Mongolian
military training program especially since September 11. China
has made an attempt to provide humanitarian assistance to
Mongolia to bolster its image (1991-1998 42.6 million RMB, as
well as concessional loans worth over 100 million RMB), and
increased its assistance program during Mongolia's 1999-2002
winter livestock disasters. China has increased its
fellowships for Mongol students to study in China, concluded a
Medical Treatment Agreement to allow tens of thousands of
Mongols to travel to Chinese hospitals for inexpensive medical
treatment since 1999, and permitted sister city relationships
to flourish.
It is clear that China sees its own policy as benign and
focused on economic development, since it has no outstanding
territorial disputes with Mongolia. The opening of nine new
seasonal border trade portals in addition to the major one at
Erlian/Zamyn Uud in the 1990s has resulted in enormous trade
growth in China's favor, even while the rampant smuggling of
Mongol minerals and raw animal hair deprives both governments
of needed tax revenues. Trade with the PRC (and Taiwan) is
welcome and generally respected in Mongolia. The whole dynamic
and tone of Sino-Mongolian relations have changed in the last
fifteen years. In 2005 the PRC leadership likely is pleased
that its regional policy as applied to Mongolian relations has
been both economically and strategically advantageous and is
likely to remain so, which is important to China's overall
plans for strengthening its role as an Asian and global power.
Dr. Alicia Campi has a Ph.D. in Mongolian Studies, was
involved in the preliminary negotiations to establish
bilateral relations in the 1980s, and served as a diplomat in
Ulaanbaatar. She has a Mongolian consultancy company
(U.S.-Mongolia Advisory Group), and writes and speaks
extensively on Mongolian issues.
Notes:
1. Remarkably, at the 2003 "Geopolitical Relations between
Contemporary Mongolia and Neighboring Asian
Countries—Democracy, Economics and Security" conference in
Taipei sponsored by the Commission, the President of Taiwan's
National Security Council publicly claimed that Taiwan saw
Mongolia's foreign policy in the Asian region as a model for
its own.
2. You
Ji and Jia Qingguo, "China's Re-emergence and Its Foreign
Policy Strategy," in China Review, Joseph Y.S. Cheng, ed.
(Chinese University Press: Hong Kong, 1998).
3. Zhao
Suisheng, "The Making of China's Periphery Policy," in Chinese
Foreign Policy, Suisheng Zhao ed. (M.E. Sharpe: Armonk, 2004),
pp. 256-275.
4. Zhao,
2004, pg. 257; You and Jia, 1998, pg. 128.
5. Tian
Peizeng., Gaige Kaifang yilai de Zhongguo Waijiao (Chinese
Diplomacy Since the Reform and Opening Up) (Shijie Zhishi
Chuban She: Beijing, 1993).
6. Zhao,
2004, pg. 269
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